I'm focusing on technical analysis because the fundamental analysis has already been addressed relatively to the US Dollar - which is inversely related to the Euro - "THE US DOLLAR".
Let's do it!
It is my beleave that the Euro index (as well as the majority of the high yield currencies) is forming a rounded top. Only time will confirm the importance of this rounded top in the long term but in the medium term we have 2 bearish reversal Candlesticks patterns to confirm it (see chart here):
- A Bearish Evening Doji Star whose reliability is high and that, despite have 2 doji is valid (can have up to 3 dojis);
- A Bearish Harami whose reliability is medium.
But there is more bearish signs that the upside move is over (see chart):
- A falling volume since mid March;
- A Rising Wedge also forming since mid March.
Good trades,
Dax Speculator
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